Price Action & SMC•6 min read•Oct 22, 2026

Mechanics of the ICT Silver Bullet Model: AM vs. PM Windows

A quantitative breakdown of the 10:00 to 11:00 AM EST Fair Value Gap liquidity sweep strategy and why consequent encroachment (50% CE) delivers optimal risk-to-reward.

The ICT Silver Bullet is one of the most mechanically robust intraday execution frameworks in modern quantitative trading because it is restricted to high-liquidity delivery algorithm cycles.

1. The Two High-Probability Algorithmic Windows

The model exclusively operates in two strict 60-minute time brackets: 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM EST (Morning London/NY overlap injection) and 02:00 PM to 03:00 PM EST (Afternoon macro delivery). Outside of these windows, the algorithm enters consolidations.

Key Rule: Execution outside the designated 60-minute windows dramatically degrades win rate.

2. The Rule of Consequent Encroachment (50% CE)

When an imbalance forms after sweeping session liquidity, retail traders often chase the breakout or place limit orders at the very edge of the FVG. Institutional algorithms balance the auction at precisely 50% of the gap (Consequent Encroachment).

Key Rule: Setting entry limits at 50% CE maximizes your risk-to-reward ratio to 1:2.5 or better.

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